you compare apples and oranges.
The current FPGA boards for AMIGA have quite high prices for what they offer.
That these board have so high prices DOES NOT mean that an FPGA is more expensive than an ASIC.
An FPGA board with 256 MB fastmem, and 68020 CPU with 600 Mhz performance and SAGA could today be sold for less than $100. If a few thousand would be produced.
How much could the Natami MX board have sold for if a few thousand would have been produced?
How much would the cost increase to have 1GB of memory?
Your specs above and estimated per unit board price may win the apples vs oranges battle using an FPGA and economies of scale but you may only win a few hundred new Amiga users than the existing FPGA boards. That's not bad and it is cheap enough to give as Christmas presents at that point but does it win the bigger battle. We could win thousands and maybe tens of thousands of Amiga users with a product that could grab a potion of the Raspberry Pi pie. There are people who like Cherry Pie but if all they get is a little piece when they could have a big piece of Raspberry Pi for less cost, which are they going to choose? Your specs above are great for the Amiga market but not very competitive against the Raspberry Pi. I'm not saying that your board with an FPGA would be wrong for a first round of production but if gaining lots of Amiga users is the goal then planning, cooperating and setting standards toward a possible ASIC design is a worthwhile strategy IMO.
why not make a crowfunding campaign in kickstarter?
We all wondered why this didn't happen with the Natami where it would have been huge with all the interest and momentum. The down sides are that you are obligated and have limited room to manuever from the advertised plan with kickstarter. I still like it as a grass roots way to raise production money from the little investors and customers. Less invested money is lost to fees if medium size to large investors would come together and do the planning ahead of time.
Of course not, ASICs, even on an older process (90/65nm) are horrendously expensive for the potential market.
ASICs are the cheapest option with high enough production quantity. Making a few thousand FPGA boards could cost $100,000-$200,000. For double that, maybe less with the right partners, you could be in the range of an ASIC that could lower per unit board costs by maybe 25%-50% and increase performance by several times. Add 1 GB of memory and you are delivering a full slice of Cherry Pi. It's risky but it is a better plan to add Amiga users than Hyperion ever had. I bet they spent millions on software development only to gain a few hundred Amiga users.
FPGAs are more than enough - a ~600Mhz 68020 equivalent is more than enough for any 68k Amiga software that's ever been written.
Is 640kB of memory enough too? The 68k has huge potential that was never developed in performance, code density and ease of use. It can blow in-order Thumb2 ARM out of the water in performance while using less memory and being easier to develop software for. I would love to throw 1GB of memory on board just because it is cheap and so overkill for a 68k Amiga. Such a board wouldn't be a Raspberry Pi killer but it could be a competitor for people who prefer Cherry Pi.
I would say this is a huge over estimate, huge huge HUGE over estimate!!!
It would surprise me a lot if a 68k Cherry pi would sell much at all, probably less than 5000. At least without a full fledge capable CPU with MMU, so that it easily can boot a relevant operating system.
I think you have misunderstood why people buy the raspberry pi, it's not just because it is cheap, it is because it is cheap and fully supported by Linux. Extremely few are interested in a lamed down EC 68k that only can run AmigaOS and maybe uCLinux if you are lucky.
What I'm guessing is that at least 10% of Raspberry Pi purchasers know and have a favorable opinion of either the Amiga or 68k (the 68k may be more popular than the Amiga). These are potential converts with a competive product (even with a somewhat inferior product overall). Such a product would need to be open, compatible and use standards where possible. Improvements need to be made in the CPU, with AmigaOS/AROS and with marketing/image to bring everything up to snuff. There are already developers willing to do the labor of love but some inflow of money could buy more of their time thereby accelerating development.