Play the odds.
Fair enough.
What are the odds that someone is friends with both at the level required to obtain such knowledge?
Why would you need to be friends with both?
Not to mention the reference to the Friedens...
Given that Acube have effectively had to release their own hacked copy of AOS4 to work with their new 460 as well as the public statements by Hyperion that simply don't mention the new system at all, it's quite possible to extrapolate this even from the outside.
Again playing the odds, this wouldn't exactly be the first time we were told as a community that everything was on schedule and rocking, only to be told months after the event that nothing had been touched in months... And it's not as though Hyperion have a proven track record of screwing over their partners or anything either, is it?
Not likely.
Plenty likely, if you know your recent Amiga history.