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Offline HopperJF

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« on: January 04, 2009, 05:02:15 PM »
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AeroMan wrote:
No, It is not a typo. I don´t expect things to change that much for the next year, but in 10 years they will for sure.

I´m not talking about hopes and dreams. I would like to know what are your feelings about how the computer world will be in the future.

Who would say in 1988 that Amiga would be dead by 2008 and PCs would represent 99% of the computer base?


In terms of at least the US, it was clear by 88 that the PC had won the corporate/businses market, so it probably wouldn't have generated as many frowns as you think though perhaps maybe over the 99% figure but then that is wrong anyway, the figure is closer to 90-95% when you take into account the Mac and alternative platforms

Anyway back on topic I predict that in 10 years time Internet Computing will become the standard, that is more applications that are accessed online than via the computer itself.
I also predict solid state drives will become the standard and be much more affordable, replacing the tradional hard disk.

I think the Amiga will still be chugging along happily as a hobbyist platform. If it was going to die out completely, it would have done by now. As long as we have us users keeping it going then companies will give us new products now and again. I can't realistically seeing Amiga recapture the glory of the early 90s. Those days are gone though optimistically I predict that Microsoft's dominance of the market will be severely reduced with more companies in particular switching to Linux and open source systems.
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Offline HopperJF

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #1 on: January 04, 2009, 05:08:38 PM »
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Ilwrath wrote:
As much as I hate to type it...  By 2019, I'd expect home computer OWNERSHIP to be on the decline.  

That's not to say home computer USAGE will drop, but I expect more and more of the subscription/rental model will be taking over.  

People are pretty much fed up with owning PCs.  They crash, get infected, and are generally a nuisance.  Besides us geeks who know how it all works, who really wants all the hassle and expense of really owning a system?  

Much like the Cable/Sat TV market, I see hardware becoming secondary, almost to the point of invisibility.  Most people will simply pay a monthly fee to use their web browsing, word processing, and email package on whatever hardware box is included in the subscription.


An absolutely dreadful idea, one of the reasons I see people flocking to Linux in years to come.
Typical moneymaking mayhem from M$  :madashell:
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Offline HopperJF

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #2 on: January 04, 2009, 05:11:04 PM »
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Manu wrote:
I predict by 2019 we have even more computing power in our homes than before. Windows is still the leading one. We all own our hardware because it's so cheap. Processing power is way beoynd what we need if we don't do games etc.


I will predict that following the trend of the last 20 years, no matter how much power your computer has, the latest Windows version will hog it all and slow it to that familiar sluggish level of responsiveness!  :-)
Religion is for people who believe in hell.
Spirituality is for people who have been there.