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Author Topic: What do you expect for 2019?  (Read 4481 times)

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Offline mikrucio

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #44 from previous page: January 06, 2009, 10:03:15 PM »
more prostitutes!
 

Offline Pyromania

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #45 on: January 06, 2009, 10:13:07 PM »
@Schoenfeld

Electric cars rock!

 

Offline beller

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #46 on: January 07, 2009, 12:52:10 AM »
Funny you should mention the EV-1, Jens!  I had the pleasure of test driving one when I was working at the California Energy Commission (one of the featured folks in Who Killed the Electric Car is Commissioner Jim Boyd).

The EV-1 was a kick to drive.  I took it on the freeway with no traffic and asked if I could see what the car would do.  The GM rep said sure and I punched it!  Wow, I had no idea how fast that electric motor could spin up to top speed!  I had a Miata at the time and it had no thrill for me after the EV-1!

Great car with a sad history!

(oh, and to the poster who said that the world ends on 12/21/2012,  the Mayans (whose calendar ends on this date) were very interesting folks.  If you're in the states the History channel is running Armegedon week!  Scary stuff.)

Now back to the topic...

Bob
 

Offline wa9yoz

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #47 on: January 07, 2009, 12:55:34 AM »
Doh!...2019?...I'll be 80 years old and hope still have some of my memories left, no, I don't means the 72 pin type..
Happy New Year 2009 to all Amiga users & Happy New Year 2019 if I can't remember what year it is or what Viagara is used for!!!
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Offline Hans_

Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #48 on: January 07, 2009, 01:30:09 AM »
In 2019,
- multi-touch and computer screens will be purvasive.
- rich people will nevertheless insist on the "antique look," opting for beige-coloured boxes and bulky monitors over flexible screens.
- The advent of cheap colour e-ink screens results in most newspapers and records finally becoming paperless. Environmental groups will be calling for the outlawing of producing paper.
- Advertising will be completely personalized.
- voice recognition will still be just a few years away from being widely used
- Sony and Toshiba will be locked in yet another consortium battle for the next generation Ultra HD format.
- Meanwhile he movie industry will be trying to push Ultra HD movies, but most people will be satisfied with HD. Despite the music industry finally ditching DRM, the movie industry will still be sticking to it.
- despite the continual march of technology, people will find that they still need to eat and sleep

Hans
http://hdrlab.org.nz/ - Amiga OS 4 projects, programming articles and more. Home of the RadeonHD driver for Amiga OS 4.x project.
 

Offline FrenchShark

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #49 on: January 07, 2009, 03:48:23 AM »
Quote

Schoenfeld wrote:

Cars: 2015 is the date when the Nickel-metal-hydride patent, which is held by Chevron, is void. That type of battery is IMHO the only type that can be used on an electric car, as lead-acid is too heavy, and Li-Ion doesn't live long enough to justify an investment of 15-20k USD into a battery pack, as such an investment would have to last "a lifetime of the car". Li-Ion fades away after a few hundred charge/discharge cycles, but Nimh has no memory effect.

There is something better than NiMH : the aluminium battery, check that out:
http://www.europositron.com/en/index.html
Combine this battery with a fuel burner and a combustion chamber covered with very efficient thermo-electric chips
from Borealis: http://www.powerchips.gi/ and you have a 1L/100km car.

I also do hope that we will have solved the energy crisis thanks to Mr Eric Lerner and its amazing dense plasma focus fusion device : http://www.focusfusion.org.
I really recommend watching the video at google talks:
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1518007279479871760&q=Google+tech+talks+lerner&pr=goog-sl

Regards,

Frederic
 

Offline amigaksi

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #50 on: January 07, 2009, 05:09:00 AM »
>by persia on 2009/1/3 9:22:42

>2019?

>AROS will be finished pretty soon.

>Anubis is still trying to build on kernel 2.6.28, and it's real soon right now.
...
>Most large cities have an Apple iMall where they can by iClothes, iGroceries and iKebabs, with plenty of parking for their iCars.

More likely that iCanned law passes in Congress to stop Apple from concocting new words beginning with i as the dictionary now has >99% words beginning with i.
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Offline amigaksi

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #51 on: January 07, 2009, 06:04:14 AM »
>by Schoenfeld on 2009/1/4 19:38:17

>I predict that by 2019, only "classic cars" will have gearboxes. By then, all cars with an internal combustion engine will use a generator and electric motors instead of the mechanical gearbox.

Certainly electric cars could reduce the pollution which looks to inexorably increase heading toward 2019.

>Computer-wise, we'll see more integration, wider data paths, and despite all the integration (gfx, cpu and memory controller all on-chip), the distributed computing approach will be followed, resembling what nature teaches us: the world is designed as a parallel thing. Parallel computing is the logical step. Object-oriented programming is already going into the direction: Every piece of data has it's own piece of code that works on the data. This transformed to hardware will mean that memory and CPU power will melt, so in layman's terms, the data knows how to operate on itself.

There's rules defined a priori that allow data to operate on itself in any OOP set-up so no data is actually going to get a mind of its own beyond the rules and "know" how to operate on itself.  I guess that's your sci-fi idea.

>Privacy will be a thing of the past. Encryption will be totally illegal. If you don't already own a mobile phone, there will be some law that forces you to have an electronic device - for your protection of course.

Yeah, one trend has been miniaturization which may lead to more feature-full cell phones.  Perhaps lead to more ICD-9 diagnosis of E871.0 in hospitals if the devices get too small.

Really though, good guess for 2019 is take the trend at present and project it further-- more bloated OSes, more memory in systems, higher speed CPUs, etc.  Only if someone makes some astounding new discovery does the wave change its course.  

Perhaps, someone will make a simpler computer that works like DOS-based systems like Atari, Amiga, or older PCs and they will co-exist with the bloated ones and people can have competition/demos to see in which areas the simpler ones out-do the complex ones.
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Offline Schoenfeld

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #52 on: January 07, 2009, 10:24:04 AM »
Quote

FrenchShark wrote:
There is something better than NiMH : the aluminium battery, check that out:
http://www.europositron.com/en/index.html


There has not been a proof of concept, the battery has not been demonstrated yet. The technology has not been described, so scientists cannot comment on it. The patent is only available in Finnish, which keeps peope from clicking on it. When clicking on it, the link is dead. My guess: Investment scam. The page talks too much about patents, business plans and licensing. There is no product!

Quote

Combine this battery with a fuel burner and a combustion chamber covered with very efficient thermo-electric chips
from Borealis: http://www.powerchips.gi/ and you have a 1L/100km car.


Powerchips promises 40% efficiency, yet, didn't ever show anything that works anywhere close to a fraction of that. Sure, there's solid-state effects that produce electricity from heat, but they cannot be used to havest usable amounts of energy.

Quote

I also do hope that we will have solved the energy crisis thanks to Mr Eric Lerner and its amazing dense plasma focus fusion device : http://www.focusfusion.org.


Another of those investment scams. If you read about the research fusion reactor located in Jülich, Germany (about 50km from where I live), they are using about the same approach: Catch a plasma in a magnetic field and compress it with the magnetic field. Let the fusion happen, reduce magnetic field and harvest the excess heat.

Problem 1: The toroid ("donut") must be HUGE in order to have a good volume/surface relation. TEXTOR is already a two-story building, but needs to be at least five times as big in order to output more energy than you put into it.

Problem 2: The machine will be instable, as the speaker also suggests. In other words: It'll be a huge ratteling box with the danger of wearing out, setting radioactive material free.

Problem 3: FocusFusion suggests not to use the excess heat, but the moving ions in a kind of "high tech transformator" to produce electricity. At a few million degrees, there are limitations to magnetic transfer of energy.

Question: If building a big unit is really only a few hundred thousand dollars, then why don't they get a loan on their house and build it?

The only answer can be that they do not believe in their own ideas. The speaker in the Google video mentions all the problems (which sound not solvable to me, as for example there is no path for the energy to be harvested), yet suggests that other people put money into it. Hell, the speaker even draws wrong conclusions - he says that the difference between the estimated and the measured values of the magnetic field effect is 10%. Yet the numbers SHOWN are about 6keV estimated to about 4keV measured. Back to class, I'd say. What does he expect investors to do - trust his words or trust his numbers?

I trust in existing technology:

- solar
- wind
- water
- geothermal

As a transition from fossil fuels to completely renewable energy, combined heat and power is a good way of using a good 95% of the energy content of fossil fuels (compared to about 25% use in the average car). Combined heat and power is available today, you can buy such a unit for your house with 10kW heat and 5.5kW electricity out (German company Senertec, product is called Dachs).

If any investor wants to put money into something, then think economical: Buy up one of the failing car companies and re-model their engine plant to build stirling engines:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stirling_engine

Stirling engines can be scaled down and up. They don't care about the heat source: Solar, burned waste or geothermal. There are model engines that run from the heat of your palm (numerous videos on utube). The principle is almost 200 years old, no patents involved (any more). Build a unit with 20kW heat input and 5kW electricity plus 15kW heat output, and you'll have millions of homes as your customer. This might be something that really happens until 2019.

Jens
 

Offline gazgod

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #53 on: January 07, 2009, 01:04:26 PM »
In 2015 Judgement day will happen and the humans hero will rise from somewhere in America going by the name of Doomy Conner who will discover that the only computer impervious to Skynet is a mil spec A2000, he will defeat Skynet in 2019 then go on to release the multi platinum Amiga tribute CD follow by a world tour playing any bomb crater he can.  :-D


On a more serious note I think that Jens view is close but privacy will be dead long before 2019.  :cry:

Gaz

Offline jj

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #54 on: January 07, 2009, 01:05:36 PM »
@ Schoenfeld

The electirc car will never  be mass produced.  I predict by 2019 the majoirty of people will be using hydrogen cell cars.  Honda have one that exists and is the way forward.
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Offline Fester

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #55 on: January 07, 2009, 11:49:20 PM »
Quote

JJ wrote:
@ Schoenfeld

The electirc car will never  be mass produced.  I predict by 2019 the majoirty of people will be using hydrogen cell cars.  Honda have one that exists and is the way forward.


I have a hunch whatever we use to power our vehicles will inadvertently be an easily packaged and sold commodity that can be jacked in price at any market whim.
 

Offline jj

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Re: What do you expect for 2019?
« Reply #56 on: January 08, 2009, 07:41:18 AM »
some people i know are convinced that europe wont have hydrogen cars in place until they can charge a tax for every mile we drive using gps. Me i think they will just tax it in the uk until it costs the same to run as a petrol car. Main problem for any government is how easy it is to produce hydrogen yourself.
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