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Offline SystemTopic starter

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What will drive the New Amiga?
« on: March 22, 2004, 11:36:35 AM »
What will it take to get the average "Joe" to consider purchasing the new Amiga (and compatible) platform in the future?

It's inarguable that the current situation with the future Amiga, and derivative products such as the Pegasos, et al., is a confusing, frustrating mess. No one knows quite who owns what, when they owned it, why "Fleecy" kept babbling about OS4 a year after they supposedly sold it, etcetera.

Disclaimer: I'm not here to play favorites and I really hope that everyone here knows and understands that I have almost no vested interest in either company. For the sake of this article, let's put the companies, their problems, and everything else aside (as we should be doing anyway -- although sadly it's become the best three-ring circus in town). Please take the time to understand the following sentence very clearly. In this editorial, when I refer to "the Amiga", for the purposes of brevity I mean the AmigaOne/OS4, Pegasos/MorphOS, and all the Amiga derivative products1 equally.

In the beginning...

... every platform had a-buzzword alert!- "killer app" that brought people to the platform itself. The classic Amiga had-in my case-games like F/A-18 Interceptor that used 16-bit color when 16 colors on the PC was still a luxury and Apple computers were still monochrome. Remember, Windows as we know it today wasn't even born yet.

Then Commodore tanked and took Amiga with it; and then there were two. Support for the Amiga dried up and-a once laughable concept in Amiga's heyday-Macintosh took over in Amiga's absence and cornered the desktop publishing and graphics world with Photoshop and other programs.

Later, just as Gateway was looking to purchase Amiga, Microsoft was taking over in the office with Microsoft Office and Windows, which helped it invade the work place with great success. Different gaming platforms had different platform games, such as the Mario Bros. one of many franchises for Nintendo that helped them approach their target market.

Later in its life, the classic Amiga had the Video Toaster, true. That too however has been absorbed by the monolith from Seattle and Apple. Apple carved out a niche for graphics, video, and flashy stylish hardware, and Microsoft currently owns the workplace.

Can we lure those users back? The Amiga currently has no killer apps anymore; nothing worth switching platforms for. With all due respect to the individual authors intended, the OS doesn't even have a decent Web browser yet! So the task here would be to generate enthusiasm in the platform to get things developed. How could they do this?

Recruiting for a new (old) platform

A new Amiga platform is going to have challenges recruiting good developers from other platforms because they can't offer the potential of a "million seller" like programs for Windows (and rarely the Mac) can. To recruit developers to your side you'd have to focus on doing a few main things:
  • Give away a lot of full systems. As Genesi is now discovering, this method doesn't automatically mean that the recipients will actually produce things for your platform.


     
  • Hire good, solid developers. I know that Amiga Inc. put their livelihood-and a great deal of money-into infiltrating the world of the "digital environment", but four years later that market is already becoming saturated, and not too many of us are interested in cellphone java apps.


     
  • Attract third-party developers. Some companies are easier to work with as a developer than others; be the easy kind. Don't charge a fortune for your SDK; take it on the chin for awhile financially and support third-party developers as much as you can afford to; it's them who'll be supporting your platform-or not.


     
  • Attract users. To get the world to switch to Amiga, there have to be "killer apps." But are there even any killer apps left for the desktop PC? The last I could have thought of (and did long before it was available) was a file sharing network. Windows developers beat us to it though, in the form of Napster, Kazaa, and about a thousand others. The only remaining possibility I could envision would be if someone could integrate my Tivo and my desktop computer... Dammit.... That's a Windows Media Center PC!


     
  • Most importantly: God forbid have a profitable venture. Let's face a hard fact here. While there is still a great deal of pride left in software development, and people can swallow their pride, they can't feed their families with it. Software development is a capitalist-driven adventure. Hyperbole aside, writing a commercial program these days is about making money; with competition like Microsoft you need to create a product that everyone wants badly enough to switch to a non-Windows compatible computer.

Community support?

Some might ask "...But Wayne, what about shareware and freeware apps?", and I hear you. While there have been commercial products available, after the death of Commodore ten years ago, the classic Amiga platform has really been supported the last ten years by nothing more than freeware and shareware. As you see by Aminet though, over the last ten years, the graph has fallen completely away from shareware and freeware and is now mostly child products2 such as music files or 1k demos.

What drives sales of X-Box (and other) gaming hardware is the existence of new, exciting, and technologically advanced games. What drives the sale of the PC is a massive amount of available software; as well as the latest games, not ports of games from other platforms.

Murky future

Let's presume for the sake of imagination that Amiga OS 4 is finally released this summer and both companies finally have saleable products that are available in the necessary quantities through proper distribution channels. In other words, say in a few months we finally have an even playing field. Then what?

Once on an even field, the question really becomes whether either company actually does the only thing that's important to the survival of the Amiga platform. To me, brand loyalty and religious zeal aside, that sole important thing is whether either company can actually generate (or motivate) the actual production of the useable, unique software that's required to keep the platform alive.

The answer, in my never-so-humble opinion, is simply "no." Neither Amiga Inc, KMOS, nor Genesi have anything in place to promote, support, or push many developers in the right direction beyond a few dead mailing lists and Tao's intent documentation. Genesi in my opinion seems to be taking baby-steps in the right direction with the MorphOS Developer Connection (MDC - http://mdc.morphos.net/). I'm sure that the Amiga people have their own NDA'd version of things, but even that isn't enough , I feel, because it's only known by people who've actually heard of the Amiga-and that number is quickly dwindling.

My point is: without real software the Amiga is a PowerPC Linux machine or, in the case of the classic Amiga, a toy with no remaining commercial purpose. That's how far the classic Amiga platform has sunk after being mishandled by a handful of just seemingly clueless parent companies. It's kind of like browsing the Internet with your Commodore 64. It can be done, but why?! Similarly, the fact that you can browse the Internet on your Amiga (or Pegasos) won't sell a single motherboard when people can run out and buy a cheap PC system, take it out of the box, turn it on, insert a CD, and do what they want.

I would love to hear anyone's ideas on how to stimulate software development, taking into consideration that neither Amiga Inc. nor Genesi seem to be really able to pour money into it like they should. At this point, we can only hope KMOS - whomever they may be - will be a step in the right direction. The only remaining question and concern on my mind is "Who is this new KMOS, and why have they owned the AmigaOS but been silent for almost a year?"

A new hope?

At the end of my little ramble here, I'd like to point out that all is not yet lost. While I honestly do not believe any platform will ever reach the pinnacle of success seen by Microsoft's Windows, it's still very possible to adapt the future of our platform to non-desktop machines, and no, I'm not talking about AmigaDE.

Devices like the "Mini-ITX" form factor (thanks Xeron for the correction) AmigaOne open up all sorts of avenues for small embedded devices such as Digital Video Recorders (DVR), or, better yet, a Digital Video Studio (Server) in a small, portable box. Can you say "$300 Digital Media creation laptop server?" I hope we all can someday.
 


1 Excluding systems that shipped with Linux (after all, who really cares about Linux on either hardware platform?), which of us would have actually purchased either expensive solution specifically to run Linux? I'm betting very few, if any.

2 Child products are those downloads which are not truly products in themselves, but things like mods and pictures that have been created with another already existing product.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #1 on: March 22, 2004, 11:48:12 AM »
That's the one.  Very small.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #2 on: March 22, 2004, 12:16:07 PM »
Quote
Before MS Office there was Lotus and Word Perfect for the PC...
Granted, but neither really had the "market cornering impact" of Office, much the same as there were browsers before IE, but IE is taking over the browser market.

I honestly believe that either KMOS, or Genesi could wing their way into the "Middleware" market, but only with dedicated devices, and none of these are what we would ever recall as being "an Amiga" -- unless they want to follow the mistakes of Sony, Nintendo, and Sega by introducing a new gaming platform.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #3 on: March 22, 2004, 01:00:04 PM »
@puppy,

I would love if those things were available, but ports of things already available for a (far cheaper) PC are not going to pursuade people to give up the PC in the first place.

*If* the future Amiga platform has any place on the desktop (or entertainment center) it has to serve an ORIGINAL and exciting purpose, not just another way to play that which is available elsewhere.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: No AROS mentioned?
« Reply #4 on: March 22, 2004, 02:30:58 PM »
@Dammy,

Didn't miss it at all.  AROS is not a company, nor does it even have 1/4 the resources and contacts of any existing "Amiga company".  Leave it to you however to try and take any subject and point it to AROS.  :-)
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: Nitpick alert
« Reply #5 on: March 22, 2004, 04:04:32 PM »
Quote
Erm, are you sure about that?
No.  It was actually quite a debate, but we couldn't find anything that could confirm it at the time it was written.  If you read the entire article and came away with that as your only question, we need to get you away from the microscope more often :)

Wayne
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #6 on: March 22, 2004, 04:22:48 PM »
Quote
Imo nothing will change at all.
Then why are you here, and why are you bothering to post?  Surely someone of your importance has something better to do.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #7 on: March 22, 2004, 04:54:25 PM »
Quote
Assuming that you'll attract another 1500 in the second year is ever so optimistic without much basis
Exactly, and herein lies the whole point of the article (since everyone appears to have missed it even though I EXPLICITLY stated it).  How do we move beyond the existing community?  The biggest issue is the creation of software which brings people to the platform.  Right now there is no incentive for any PC user to buy one.  If we're going to survive, at least one of the companies involved has to find a way to motivate sales outside the existing (dwindling) community who -- for the most part -- already owns either an AmigaOne or Pegasos.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #8 on: March 22, 2004, 04:55:13 PM »
I really don't think anyone's getting the political thing here.  English works.
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #9 on: March 22, 2004, 06:29:43 PM »
For the record, I wasn't trying to be abrasive, or even troll.  I just wasn't following the continual, very wide political analogy tangent.

This platform is not going to survive selling to inside this community.  Eventually even this small niche will become saturated, and you'd have no one left to sell to.

If you're trying to suggest that there's no way to get outside this community, we might as well quit now.  :-)
 

Offline SystemTopic starter

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Re: What will drive the New Amiga?
« Reply #10 on: March 24, 2004, 12:45:58 PM »
> 1. Easy to use.

Very comparative statement.  I don't find the Amiga 'easy to use' because I'm used to Windows.  People purchasing a new machine won't find the Amiga any easier to use than the PC, or Mac for that matter.  Especially since they would have to pay 3x the price and assemble it themselves.

> 2. Fast to start and stop (more time doing and
> less time waiting).

Irelevant to most people.   Most people, like myself, leave their machines on 24/7 so their is no waiting.  A few extra seconds booting isn't going to really matter to the average person, especially when I've seen Amigas that take longer to boot (because of all the extra crap loaded) than an average Windows XP box.

> Silent (could be completely silent if we tried > harder).

Only relevant in the set top arena, and since you have to roll your own Amiga anyway, if silent is important to you, choose silent components (such as the power supply and heat sync).

> 4. Cool (in terms of "thermal"), PPC CPU's run
> cooler anyway but besides that we do not need
> to push the MHz barriers to get work done.

Also irrelevant to the average person who wants to buy a new machine.  The average person isn't going to be able to look past the Mhz myth to buy a new 1 Ghz Amiga at $500 or $800 USD for the motherboard when they can buy a complete 3.00 Ghz PC with Windows for under $1000.

Wayne